Chiefs vs Bills - NFL AFC Championship Picks and Predictions

Just one game away from The Big Game in New Orleans on February 9th, this Sunday sees the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills go head-to-head at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in the AFC Championship game.

Kansas City are the reigning champions of The Big Game, who made light work of Houston in the Divisional Round to win 23-14.

Back at Arrowhead Stadium this weekend, the Chiefs host a Bills side who secured a nail-biting 27-25 win at Highmark Stadium against a formidable Baltimore Ravens side.

It’s set up to be a cracking contest on Sunday, with a mouth-watering head-to-head between quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.

Tip 1 - Buffalo Bills to win @ 11/10

Looking at the spread this is expected to be a tight contest for the AFC Championship crown, but it’s one the Bills might just edge at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs have been a modern dynasty in the NFL, but all good things must come to an end, and perhaps Sunday could be a bridge too far for Kansas City to go again and win.

Allen has been sensational for the Bills this season and he was able to come out on top in another intriguing head-to-head against fellow MVP candidate Lamar Jackson in the win over the Ravens last week.

Battle-hardened from that win over Baltimore, the Bills have proven to themselves they can overcome formidable opponents, and they might just have enough to claim the famous win on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium.

Tip 2 - Over 47.5 total points @ 9/10

These are two outstanding offences that are going up against each other on Sunday and this should be a high-scoring shootout here.

The Bills averaged 29.0 points per game on offence during the regular season, while they only just dipped below that average when putting 27 points past the Ravens last time out.

When the sides met earlier in the season at Highmark Stadium, the Bills were the ones to come out on top in a 30-21 victory.

With 51 points scored that day, a similar scoreline might well be on the cards this Sunday, so look to the over on the 47.5 total points on offer.

Tip 3 - Travis Kelce touchdown scorer @ 57/50

There is just something about the playoffs that brings Travis Kelce to life.

The Chiefs tight end had seven receptions for 117 yards and scored one touchdown in that win over the Texans last time out.

Now with 20 receiving touchdowns in his playoff career, Kelce is only second to the great Jerry Rice when it comes to playoff touchdowns in NFL history.

With that in mind, it’s hard to look past Kelce adding to his collection on Sunday, even if it’s not enough to see the Chiefs return to another final this season.

Odds correct at time of publication but subject to fluctuation

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